Macro Brief& The Week Ahead
Latest weekly outlook
Weekly Market Outlook:Sep 28–Oct 2, 2026
A rejected Iran peace offer keeps the Strait of Hormuz functionally closed heading into the heaviest data week since the Fed's hike — PCE, ISM Manufacturing, and September payrolls all land before Friday's close, with Micron's earnings caught in the middle as the AI-infrastructure trade's next verdict.
Past Market Reads
September 2026
Weekly Market Outlook: Sep 21–25, 2026
With the Fed's first hike since 2023 now behind it and the 10-year sitting at a level it has touched only twice since 2007, a Fedspeak-heavy, earnings-light week has to decide whether flash PMIs and durable goods confirm one more October hike or hand the hold case back some life — all while the UN General Assembly's General Debate and a stalled Hormuz diplomacy track run in the background.
Weekly Market Outlook: Sep 14–18, 2026
A macro review of the week the Fed actually decides — CME FedWatch pricing 85-90% odds of a September 16 hike after back-to-back hot PPI and CPI prints — landing the same day as August retail sales, against a widening Middle East energy conflict after Saudi Arabia's key Hormuz-bypass pipeline was shut down by drone strikes and a fresh vessel was hit in the Strait itself this weekend, with quadruple witching closing out the week on Friday, September 18.
Weekly Market Outlook: Sep 7 - 11, 2026
A macro review of the coin-flip September rate decision the market now carries into the Fed's pre-meeting blackout, Friday's CPI print as the last word before September 16, Oracle and Adobe as the week's enterprise-AI-monetization test, and the scenarios that could shape risk over September 7–11, 2026.
August 2026
Weekly Market Outlook: Aug 31 - Sep 4, 2026
A macro review of Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole pivot, the week's ADP/ISM/payrolls sequence now sitting on a genuinely live September hike decision, Broadcom's AI-backlog test, and the scenarios that could shape risk over August 31–September 4, 2026.
Weekly Market Outlook: Aug 24 - 28, 2026
A macro review of the Nvidia-earnings-into-Jackson-Hole collision, Warsh's debut Fed Chair keynote, the Treasury's bond-buyback intervention, and the scenarios that could shape risk over August 24–28, 2026.
Weekly Market Outlook: Aug 10 - 14, 2026
A macro review of the labor-market regime shift, the week’s CPI and PPI catalysts, Fed pricing, cross-asset signals, and the scenarios that could shape risk over August 10–14, 2026.